Start Anywhere
When I first began this adventure with the Virtual Stock Exchange (VSE) I was looking for a way to practice and hone my trading abilities.
I found it to be a rather rewarding experience as I saw how quickly and rather effortlessly I could watch my picks turn into winners. As I said in previous entries here, I was able to watch my 1 million dollar nest egg grow into 5 million and then later 7 to 10 million dollars!
Unfortunately I was not as successful the next time out starting with only (only!) $100,000.00. I actually ended up losing about 20%, ending up with about $80,000.00.
Another guy jumped onto my game and actually succeeded me in position, winning first place over the one legged man in the ass-kicking competition behind him.
What happened?
I guess you could say I blinked. I didn’t stick to my guns and use only companies undergoing stock splits. In fact, at one point I actually tried to bet on against a company that was going through a reverse stock split by shorting the stock. That move didn’t turn out to be my most intelligent choice. The price of the shares promptly went through the roof as investors ran out to grab as many shares as they could get their hands on! Won’t ever do that again!
It also turned out that not every company going through a stock split rose in price either.
I think I may have learned something from that experience; quite a few “somethings”, in fact.
For instance, stock-split companies are not always winners. There are many factors that affect how an issue will rise in price. Many times an issue will have already have had a healthy run up in price and by the time the company announces a stock split investors may already be taking profits by selling the inflated shares. This is why it is always a good idea to find these little jewels before they get to that point.
One good barometer for predicting a stock’s behavior is the moving averages of the stock’s price. CBS Marketwatch likes to list the 50-day and 18-day on a line graph against a “mountain” graph of the price per share.
If you don’t know what a moving average is, click here for a quick recap:
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/technical/052201.aspThe idea here is to pick companies that going through stock splits whose 18 day MA’s are moving higher than their 50 day MA’s. This may not be a total lock on successful trades, but it may allow for a more predictable performance pattern overall.
So now comes the reason for the title of this missive; my choices for a $5,000.00 trade.
And the winners are:
GEO
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=GEO&t=1y&l=on&z=m&q=l&p=m10,m50&a=&c=
Trading at $45.17/share. I would pick up 50 shares. Spending $20.00 on commissions (highway robbery brokerage, inc.)
Trade Total:$2,303.67
PCU
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=PCU&t=1y&l=on&z=m&q=l&p=m20,m50&a=&c=
Trading at $91.41/share. I would pick up 25 shares. Spending $20.00 on commissions (highway robbery brokerage, inc.)
Trade Total: $2,327.00
Leaving a little over $5,000.00 in the “Cash” side in case something goes horribly wrong causing the stock market to go totally shithouse, allowing my carefully constructed house of cards to tumble
Which brings us to the fun legal stuff:
DISCLAIMER:
The above is offered for entertainment purposes only! IT IS NOTINTENDED AS INVESTMENT ADVICE! SO DON’T ASK FOR ANY!
Frank Austad will be held harmless for any and all statements made in this document.
That means this:
If you follow my lead and run out and spend your hard earned money on ANYTHING I POST HERE and you lose all of your money including your house and your shirt, IT’S YOUR OWN FAULT! DON’T BE A DUMBASS!
Stockmarket trading involves a great deal of risk and you may lose all of your money on your trades no matter how carefully you plan them. “Paper trading” does not guarantee success in market trades.
Now, hang up on your team of attorneys, apologizing to their secretary first, and go to the next blog!
SO THERE!